How We Count Wins — AO Trading Win Rate Methodology

How we count wins

Every number on aotrading.io comes from one place: the live results dashboard. This page explains exactly how win rate is calculated — and what counts as a win, a loss, and nothing yet.

Win rate formula Wins ÷ total closed trades
Losses excluded? Never
Verifiable? Yes — public dashboard

The methodology, step by step

01

Every trade is recorded at entry

When a trader posts a signal in Discord, the entry is recorded in our live dashboard immediately — before the outcome is known. You can see the entry price, position size, and timestamp of every trade before it closes.

02

A win is a trade that closes in profit

If a take-profit level fires, the trade closes as a win. If a stop-loss fires, the trade closes as a loss. Partial TPs count as partial wins. We do not exclude stopped-out trades from the win rate calculation.

03

Losses are counted — all of them

Every stopped-out trade appears on the public results dashboard. There is no filter for "market conditions" or minimum trade size. A loss is a loss. The win rate includes all closed trades from all active traders.

04

Win rate = wins / total closed trades

Simple. We count the number of trades that closed in profit and divide by the total number of closed trades. No weighting by size. No time-period cherry-picking. The formula is the same for every trader.

05

Open trades are excluded from the calculation

A trade is not counted in the win rate until it closes. Open positions are visible on the dashboard but do not affect the published percentage. This prevents inflating the win rate by leaving losing trades open.

06

The dashboard is the source of truth

We do not report win rates in Discord or email that are higher than what the dashboard shows. If you see a number on aotrading.io/results, that is the real number — not a marketing figure.

Verify it yourself

The public results dashboard shows every trade from every AO trader — including all losses. You can count wins and losses manually and check the win rate against our published figure.

View the public results dashboard →

Common questions

Does the win rate include all traders or just the best ones?

The group win rate includes all active traders weighted equally by trade count. Individual trader win rates are shown separately. We do not remove traders from the group stat when their win rate drops.

What counts as a "partial win"?

When a trader sets multiple take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3), each TP hit is counted separately. If TP1 fires and TP2/TP3 do not, we count one win and the rest remain open until they close.

Is the win rate the same as profitability?

No. Win rate tells you what percentage of trades close in profit. Profitability depends on position sizes and risk/reward ratios. A 70% win rate with poor risk management can still be unprofitable. We publish both win rates and P&L data on the results dashboard.

Why does the 30-day win rate differ from the all-time win rate?

Different time periods include different market conditions and trader activity. The 30-day win rate shows recent performance. All-time shows the full track record. Both are calculated using identical methodology.

Can I verify this myself?

Yes. The results dashboard at aotrading.io/results shows every closed trade from every trader, including losses. You can cross-reference any published win rate by manually counting the wins and losses on the dashboard.

The results are public. The methodology is public. The offer is straightforward.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Win rate does not represent individual trader profitability. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.